NROW 23

FrontPage

7:45 AM - 7:50 AM: Opening Remarks

Christina Speciale, NROW Chair, NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York Christopher Gitro, Meteorologist-In-Charge, NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

7:50 AM - 8:00 AM: Student Map Discussion

Evan Belkin, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany, State University of New York

Session A: Decision Support Services (8:00 AM - 9:05 AM) Session Chair: Steve DiRienzo

8:00 AM - 8:15 AM: Night Shift Derailed: Lessons Learned from the High-Profile Train Derailment in East Palestine, OH

Shannon Hefferan (Virtual) NOAA/NWS/WFO Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

8:15 AM - 8:30 AM Extensive Flash Flooding of 29 September 2023 in the New York City Metro Area

David Stark and James Tomasini (Virtual) NOAA/NWS/WFO New York, New York

8:30 AM - 8:45 AM - An Overview of the June 2023 NYC Smoke Event

David Radell (Virtual) NOAA/NWS/WFO New York, New York

8:45 AM -9:00 AM Machine Learning-Driven Detection of Road Surface Conditions in Department of Transportation Camera Images

Carly Sutter

Department of Environmental and Atmospheric Science

University at Albany, State University of New York

9:00 AM - 9:05AM: Q & A for Session A - Decision Support Services

9:05 AM - 9:20 AM: Break

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

NROWXXIVKeynotePresentation(9:20AM-10:05AM)

Introduction: Jeanette Sutton

College of Emergency Preparedness, Homeland Security and Cybersecurity University at Albany, State University of New York

The Melting Pot Paradox: Ensuring Equitable Response for All New Yorkers Keynote Speaker: Joseph Trujillo - Falcón

Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

10:05 AM - 10:20 AM: Break

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

Session B:Weather Risk Communication and User Response(10:20 AM - 11:25 AM) Session Chair: Joe Villani

10:20 AM - 10:35 AM: Disconnected by Choice: Ongoing Efforts across the National Weather Service to Protect Life and Property in the Amish/Plain Communities

Jonathan Guseman (Virtual)

NOAA/NWS/WFO State College, Pennsylvania

10:35 AM - 10:50 AM: The Influence of Social Media User-Type on Informational Behaviors and Hazard Adjustments During Hurricane Dorian

Amber Silver

College of Emergency Preparedness, Homeland Security and Cybersecurity University at Albany, State University of New York

10:50 AM - 11:05 AM: Improving Communication With Highly Vulnerable Societal Groups: Results from Interviews and a Survey

Josef Moses

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

11:05 AM - 11:20 AM: *“Hangover” Currents? The Challenges of Spanish Language Rip Current Outreach*

Jase Bernhardt Hofstra University

11:20 AM - 11:25 AM: Q & A for Session B Weather Risk Communication and User Response

11:25 AM - 11:40 AM: Break

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

Session C: Cool Season/Winter Weather (11:40 AM - 12:45 PM) Session Chair: Neil Stuart

11:40 AM - 11:55 AM: Although What Happens in Vegas Stays in Vegas, What Happens Over the North Pacific (NPAC) Definitely Does Not Stay over the NPACLance Bosart

Department of Environmental and Atmospheric Science

University at Albany, State University of New York

11:55 AM - 12:10 PM: *National Weather Service Snowfall Forecast Spatial Bias in Northeast Cyclones*

Joseph Villani

NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

12:10 PM - 12:25 PM: Analyzing the Development and Movement of Mesoscale Snow Bands in the Eastern U.S. Significant Snow Storms between 2002-2022

Neil Stuart

NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

12:25 PM - 12:40 PM: A Multiscale Analysis of the 29 April–2 May 2023 Winter Storm in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula

Daniel Thompson (Virtual) NOAA/NWS/WFO Marquette, Michigan

12:40 PM - 12:45 PM: Q & A for Session C Cool Season/Winter Weather

12:45 PM - 2:00 PM: Lunch Break

See Area Restaurant Documents for Lunch Recommendations

Session D: Buffalo Blizzard Showcase (2:00 PM - 3:10 PM) Session Chair: Abigayle Gant

2:00 PM - 2:15 PM: A Holiday Period for the History Books: Part One A Forecaster's Perspective of the Deadly Christmas Blizzard of 23-27 December 2022

Robert Hamilton (Virtual) NOAA/NWS/WFO Buffalo, New York

2:15 PM - 2:30 PM: A Holiday Period for the History Books: Part Two A Historical Perspective of the Crippling Metropolitan Buffalo Blizzard of 23-27 December 2022

Michael Fries (Virtual) NOAA/NWS/WFO Buffalo, New York

2:30 PM - 3:00 PM: Buffalo Television Meteorologists Preparation & Coverage of the 2022 Christmas Blizzard

Elyse Smith, Carl Lam, and Michael Doyle (Virtual) Formerly of WGRZ - NBC Affiliate, Buffalo, New York WGRZ - NBC Affiliate, Buffalo, New York

WIVB - CBS Affiliate, Buffalo, New York

3:00 PM - 3:10 PM: Q/A Session for Buffalo Blizzard Showcase

☕3:10 PM - 3:25 PM: Break

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

Session E: Miscellaneous Topics (3:25 PM - 5:00 PM) Session Chair: Kevin Lipton

3:25 PM - 3:40 PM: Variability of Cool Season Precipitation Structures Within the Cyclone Comma Head

Philip Yeh

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

3:40 PM- 3:55 PM: Investigation of Convective Environments in the Capital Region with Expanded Atmospheric Measurements (ICECREAM) Field Project

Brian Tang

Department of Environmental and Atmospheric Science University at Albany, State University of New York

3:55 PM - 4:10 PM: Evaluating HRRR Model Forecasts of Impactful Severe Weather Events in Upstate New York

Rachel Elridge

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany, State University of New York

4:10 PM - 4:25 PM: The April 1, 2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather Outbreak: How Mesoanalysis and Knowledge of Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornadogenesis Aided the Operational Performance of Weather Forecast Office Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Cameron Wunderlin, Lee Robertson, and Matthew Brudy (Virtual) NOAA/NWS/WFO Philadelphia, Pennsylvania/Mount Holly, New Jersey

4:25PM -4:40 PM: Predicting Weather Related Power Outages in the Northeast United States

Brian Filipiak

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of Connecticut

4:40 PM - 4:55 PM: HRRR Wind Forecast Verification Against NYSM and Public Utility Observations

Robert Fovell

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany, State University of New York

4:55 PM - 5:00 PM - Q & A for Session E Miscellaneous Topics

5:00 PM - 5:05 PM: Closing Remarks/Adjourn Christina Speciale, NROW Chair NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

Meeting Adjourned

Day 2: Wednesday 15 November 2023

7:00 AM - 7:50 AM: Conference Check-in.

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

7:50 AM - 7:55 AM: Opening Remarks

Christina Speciale, NROW Chair, NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

Session F: Precipitation Extremes & Flooding Inundation Mapping

(7:55 AM - 9:15 AM)

Session Chair: Abigayle Gant

7:55 AM - 8:10 AM: The Northeast Drought Early Warning System: History, Activities and Opportunities

Sylvia Reeves

NOAA NIDIS Northeast DEWS

8:10 AM - 8:25 AM: Rain Without End - A Review of Summer 2023 in New Hampshire and Western Maine

Justin Arnott (Virtual)

NOAA/NWS/WFO Gray/Portland, Maine

8:25 AM - 8:40 AM: *A Hydrologic Perspective of the Historic July 9-11, 2023 Vermont Floods*

John Goff (Virtual)

NOAA/NWS/WFO Burlington, Vermont

8:40 AM - 8:55 AM: NWS Flood Inundation Mapping: A New Tool in the WFO Albany Hydrology Toolbox

Britt Westergard

NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

8:55 AM - 9:10 AM: The Crucial Role of Flood Inundation Mapping (FIM) in the July 2023 Montpelier, VT Flood Damage Assessment

Evan Belkin

NOAA/NWS Northeast River Forecast Center

Day 2: Wednesday 15 November

9:10 AM - 9:15 AM - Q & A for Session F Precipitation Extremes & Flooding Inundation Mapping

☕9:15 AM - 9:30 AM: Break & Poster Session

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

Session G: Winter Weather & Probabilistic/Collaboration Tools(9:30 AM-10:35 AM) Session Chair: Tom Wasula

9:30 AM - 9:45 AM: Exploring a New Dimension of Impact-Based Forecast Products: Duration of Impacts

Dana Tobin

CIRES/NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center

9:45 AM - 10:00 AM: Collaboration of Winter Storm Watches

Bryan Jackson

NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center

10:00 AM - 10:15 AM: The Weather Prediction Center’s Winter Weather Experiment: Past Successes, Ongoing Challenges, and Future Plans

Massey Bartolini

NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center

10:15 AM - 10:30 AM: Examining the Performance of the National Blend of Models During High Impact Winter Weather in New England

Christopher Gilberti

University at Albany, State University of New York NOAA/NWS/WFO Gray/Portland, Maine

10:30 AM - 10:35 AM - Q & A for Session G Winter Weather & Probabilistic/Collaboration Tools

☕10:35 AM - 10:50 AM: Break & Poster Session

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

Session H: Winter Weather Field Campaign, Ensembles & Artificial Intelligence

(10:50 AM-12:00 PM)

Session Chair: Michael Main

10:50 AM - 11:05 AM: Using Airborne Measurements to Evaluate HRRR Forecasts of Freezing Drizzle Aloft: Results from the WINTRE-MIX Field Campaign

Megan Schiede

University at Albany, State University of New York

11:05 AM - 11:25 AM: Better Utilization of Ensembles in Operations Through Clustering and Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis

Brian Colle

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

11:25 AM - 11:40 AM: Using Ensembles to Establish High Confidence in Historic Wind Chills During February 2023 in Maine

Todd Foisy (Virtual) NOAA/NWS/WFO Caribou, Maine

11:40 AM - 11:55 AM: AI Coastal Upwelling Detection in the Mid-Atlantic Bight

Andrea John

Department of Environmental Science Rutgers University

11:55 AM - 12:00 PM - Q & A for Session H

Winter Weather Field Campaign, Ensembles & Artificial Intelligence

12:00 PM - 1:00 PM: Lunch Break & Poster Session

Pre-Paid Catered Lunch from Bountiful Bread (First Floor Lobby - ETEC) See Area Restaurant Documents for Lunch Recommendations

1:00 PM - 2:15 PM: The National Weather Association (NWA) Research to Operations Nexus (RON) at NROW

All In-Person Conference Attendees Welcome to Participate First Floor Lobby - ETEC

Group 1: Risk Communication & Reaching Underserved & Vulnerable Populations

Subject Matter Experts: Dr. Jeannette Sutton & Joseph Trujillo-Falcón

Group 2: Data Visualization

Subject Matter Experts: Dr. Nicholas Bassil & Dr. June Wang

Group 3: AI/Machine Learning

Subject Matter Experts: Dr. Kara Suila & Dr. Sukanta Basu

Group 4: Probabilistic Forecasting

Subject Matter Experts: Dr. Brian Colle & Dr. Ryan Torn

☕2:15 PM - 2:30 PM: Break & Poster Session

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

Session I: Severe Weather (2:30 PM - 3:45 PM) Session Chair: Brian Frugis

Invited Presentation

2:30 PM - 3:10 PM: A Retrospective Look at 50 Years of Severe Weather Forecasting

Steven Weiss

Retired NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

3:10 PM - 3:25 PM: New York and New England Significant Hail Climatology Part I: Climatology and Case Studies

Thomas Wasula

NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

3:25 PM - 3:40 PM: New York and New England Significant Hail Climatology Part II: Environmental Analysis

Michael Main

NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

3:40 PM - 3:45 PM - Q & A for Session I - Severe Weather

☕3:45 PM - 4:00 PM: Break & Poster Session

Coffee and Refreshments sold by the SUNY Albany Student AMS Chapter

Session J: Winter Weather, Modeling & Messaging(4:00 PM - 5:20 PM) Session Chair: Lee Picard

4:00 PM - 4:15 PM: Beyond the Message: What to Consider for Emergency Communications

DeeDee Bennett Gayle

College of Emergency Preparedness, Homeland Security and Cybersecurity University at Albany, State University of New York

4:15 PM - 4:30 PM: A Grassroots Effort Continues to Gain Traction: Year Three of the Snow Squall Safety Campaign

John Banghoff (Virtual)

NOAA/NWS/WFO State College, Pennsylvania (Virtual)

4:30 PM - 4:45 PM: Environmental Conditions and Forecast Error Evolution Associated with Synoptic Progressiveness Errors in GFS Forecasts

Kevin Lupo

National Center for Atmospheric Research

Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego

4:45 PM - 5:00 PM: Evaluating Stochastic Parameter Perturbations in Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts of Lake-Effect Snow Justin Minder

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany, State University of New York

5:00 PM - 5:15 PM: The Development of Snow Multi-Bands in High-Resolution Idealized Baroclinic Wave Simulations

Nicholas Leonardo

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

5:15 PM - 5:20 PM - Q & A for Session J Winter Weather, Modeling & Messaging

5:20 PM - 5:25 PM: Closing Remarks/Adjourn Christina Speciale, NROW Chair NOAA/NWS/WFO Albany, New York

Meeting Adjourned NROW XXV - November 2024

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