2005 - Albany CSTAR
NROW 2005
Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop
Albany, New York
Tuesday, November 1, 2005
Day Chair – Raymond Okeefe
8:30 am
Welcoming Remarks
Eugene P. Auciello, Meteorologist In Charge, NWS Albany, New York
Warren R. Snyder, Science & Operations Officer, NWS Albany, New York
Raymond Okeefe, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWS Albany, New York
Session A. Modeling
8:45 am Predictability and Extended Range Forecasts: The
Complimentary Roles of HPC and WFOs
Peter Manousos
NOAA/NWS National Center for Environmental Prediction, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Silver Spring, Maryland
9:10 am Predictability and
Extended Range Forecasting
Josh Korotky
NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
David Novak
NOAA/NWS Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, New York
10:00 am Storm Surge Modeling for the New York
Metropolitan Region
Brian A. Colle
Marine Sciences Research Center
Stony Brook University/SUNY
10:25 am
Break
10:50 am Convective Forecast Performance of an Operational
Mesoscale Modeling System0
Anthony P. Praino
IBM Thomas J Watson Research Center,
Yorktown Heights, New York
Session B. Severe Convection/Warm Season
Nicholas D. Metz
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York
11:40 am A Statistical Analysis and
Synoptic Climatology of Heat Waves over the Northeast United States
Scott C. Runyon
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York
12:05 pm Ridge Rollers: Mesoscale Disturbances on
the Periphery of Cutoff Anticyclones
Tom Galarneau, Jr.
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York
12:30 Lunch
Michael L. Ekster
NOAA/NWS, Weather Service Forecast Office, Upton, New York
2:25 pm A Multiscale Analysis of the 23-24 November 2004 Southeast
United States Tornado Outbreak
Alicia Wasula
2:50 pm The Thanksgiving 2004 Severe
Weather Event across Upstate New York and New England
Thomas A. Wasula
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York
3:15 pm Tornadoes to Torrents: The
Southern Ontario Severe Weather Event of August 19, 2005
Robert Hamilton
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Buffalo, New York
3:40 pm
Break
4:00 pm – Keynote Presentation NCEP Update; Focus on
the Winter Weather Desk
Dr. Louis W. Uccellini, Director
NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Camp Springs, Maryland
5:00 pm
Adjourn
Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop
Albany, New York
Wednesday, November 2, 2005
Day Chair – Warren R. Snyder
Session C. Hydrology
Stephen Jessup
Cornell University, Ithaca, New York
8:55 am
Winter Hydrology: Modeling River Ice and Ground Frost to
Improve Flood and Flash Flood Warning Accuracy
Stephen N. DiRienzo
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York
Session D. CSTAR Projects and Related Topics
9:20 am The Tropical Transition of Hurricane Alex
(2004): Observations and Forecast Implications\
Lance F. Bosart
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State
University of New York, Albany, New York
9:45 am Modeling the Initialization and Tropical Transition
Hurricane Alex (2004)
R. McTaggart-Cowan
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York
10:10 am
Break
Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.
NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York
11:00 am Cool-Season Regime
Transition and Its Impact on
Precipitation in the Northeast
Heather Archambault
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York
11:25 am Cool-Season Moderate Precipitation Events in the
Northeastern United States
Keith Wagner
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York
11:50 am A Climatological Study of Storm Track and Banding
for Mid-Atlantic Snow Storms from 1960 – 2004
Patrick F. Maloit
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Wakefield VA
Matthew D. Greenstein
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York
12:40 pm
Lunch
Session E. Aviation and Operations
2:00 pm Aviation Cloud
Forecasts – A True Challenge for Forecasters
Jeffrey S. Tongue
NOAA/National Weather Service, Upton, New York
2:25 pm Multi-Year Examination of Dense Fog at Burlington
International Airport
John M. Goff
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Burlington, Vermont
Michael Evans and Ron Murphy
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, NY
3:15 pm
A Study of Coherent Tropopause Disturbances
within the Northern Hemispheric Circumpolar Vortex
Joseph R. Kravitz
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York
3:40 pm
Closing Remarks
Warren R. Snyder
3:45 pm
Adjourn
NROW 8 will be held November 7-8, 2006