2015 NGGPS Meetings and Presentations

2015 NGGPS Meetings and Presentations

NGGPS External FFO
PI Meeting
Thursday, July 16, 2015 and Friday July 17, 2015
Conference Rooms
NCWCP, 5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740

Overall Objective
The goal of the R2O initiative is to design and develop the Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) to provide improved weather prediction accuracy and warnings, and extend the US weather forecast to 30 days. Targeted improvements will be achieved through:

Accelerated development and implementation of improved global weather prediction models.
Improved data assimilation techniques.
Nested regional prediction capabilities.
Post-processing forecast tools and techniques.
Improved software architecture and system engineering.

Principal investigators/co-investigators will present an overview, status, and direction of their current work, funded through the federally funded opportunity to accelerate critical research for the advancement of a fully-coupled NGGPS. NGGPS Team Leads will provide any needed feedback and/or directions to investigators.

Agenda Day 1 - NGGPS Modeling Projects 8:00 am - 5:35 pm EDT
Thursday, July 16, 2015
Conference Rooms

8:00 am	Welcome/Status of R2O Initiative - Fred Toepfer/Chris Hedge
8:15 am	NCEP/EMC Welcome - EMC Branch Chief
Physics - Jim Doyle
8:30 am	Integrating Unified Gravity Wave Physics into the Next Generation Global Prediction System (pdf) - Timothy Fuller-Rowell (University of Colorado)
9:05am	Evaluating the Impact of Cloud-Aerosol-Precipitation Interaction (CAPI) Schemes on Rainfall Forecast in the NGGPS (pdf) - Zhanqing Li (University of Maryland)
9:40am	Investigation of Aerosol Effects on Weather Forecast using NCEP Global Forecast System (pdf) - Sarah Lu (SUNY- Albany)
10:15am	Break
10:35am	Developing Physics-oriented Diagnostic Tools for Model Evaluation and Improvement (pdf) - Zhuo Wang (University of Illinois)
Nesting/Convective Systems - Vijay Tallapraga
11:10 am	Advancing Storm-Scale Forecasts over Nested Domains for High-Impact Weather (pdf) - David Stensrud (Pennsylvania State University)
Ocean - Bob Grumbine
11:45 am	An Operational Hybrid 3DVar/EnKF Ocean Assimilation System-NCEP (pdf) - Steve Penny (University of Maryland)
12:20 pm	Break/Lunch
Post-Processing/Ensemble Development - Tom Hamill
1:00 pm	Calibration and Evaluation of GEFS Ensemble Forecasts at Weeks 2-4 (pdf) - Ping Liu (SUNY- Stony Brook)
1:35 pm	Subseasonal Prediction over the Western US (pdf) - Cliff Mass (University of Washington)
2:10 pm	Development and testing of a multi-model ensemble prediction system for sub-monthly forecasts (pdf) - Andrew Robertson (Columbia University)
2:45 pm	Accelerating Development of NOAA's Next-Generation Global couple System for Week-3 and Week-4 Weather Prediction (pdf) - James Kinter (George Mason University)
3:20 pm	Break
Atmospheric Data Assimilation - John Derber
3:40 pm	Development of Advanced Data Assimilation Techniques for Improved use of Satellite-Derived Atmospheric Motion Vectors (pdf) - Jaime Daniels for James Jung (University of Wisconsin)
4:15pm	Improving Global and Hurricane Prediction by Using Minimum-Cost Large Ensemble in GFS 4DEnVar Hybrid Data Assimilation System (pdf) - Xuguang Wang (University of Oklahoma)
4:50pm	Improved tropical cyclone initialization for NCEP operations through direct assimilation of storm information (pdf) - Daryl Kleist (University of Maryland)
5:25pm	Recap - Fred Toepfer/Chris Hedge
5:35pm	Adjourn/Unofficial Dinner

Agenda Day 2 -NGGPS Testbed Projects - 8:00 am - 2:00 pm EDT
Advanced Forecaster Tools and Applications for NGGPS
Friday, July 17, 2015
Conference Rooms

8:00 am	Welcome/Overview - Paula Davidson/Chris Hedge
Synoptic Scale
8:15 am	Exploitation of Ensemble Prediction System Information in support of Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis Prediction (.pptx) - Christopher Thorncroft (SUNY- Albany)
8:50 am	Application of a Hybrid Dynamical-Statistical Model for Week 3 to 4 Forecast of Atlantic/Pacific Tropical Storm and Hurricane Activities (.pptx) - Jae-Kyung Schemm (NCEP-CPC)
9:25 am	Validation of Significant Weather Features and Processes in Operational Models Using a Cyclone Relative Approach (.pptx) - Brian Colle (SUNY- Stony Brook)
10:00 am	An Investigation of the Skill of Week Two Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Forecasts at the NCEP-WPC (.pptx) - Lance Bosart (SUNY- Albany)
10:35 am	Break
Storm-Scale (Severe Weather)
10:50 am	Test and Evaluation of Rapid Post-Processing and Information Extraction From Large Convection Allowing Ensembles Applied to 0-3hr Tornado Outlooks (.pptx) - James Correia (University of Oklahoma) Data Mining of High-Resolution Storm-Scale Datasets - (.pptx) - (Also presenting Travis Smith work)
11:25 am	Improvement of Convective/Severe Weather Prediction through an Integrative Analysis of WRF Simulations and NEXRAD/GOES Observations over the CONUS (.pdf) - Xiquan Dong (University of North Dakota)
12:00 pm	Break/working lunch
12:15 pm	Information Extraction and Verification of Numerical Weather Prediction for Severe Weather Forecasting (.pptx) - Israel Jirak (University of Oklahoma)
Land Surface and Remote Sensing
12:50 pm	Enhancing NCEP GFS Forecasts via Assimilating Satellite Soil Moisture and Snow Observations (.pptx) - Christopher Hain (University of Maryland)
1:15 pm	Incorporation of near-real-time Suomi NPP Green Vegetation Fraction and Land Surface Temperature data into NCEP Land modeling suite (.pptx) - Ivan Csiszar (NESDIS/STAR)
2:00pm	Adjourn

NGGPS Annual Meeting
Tuesday and Wednesday, July 14 - 15, 2015
NCWCP Conference Rooms
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Remote Access information listed at end of agenda

Overall Objective
Provide a status update of the first year of the R2O Initiative for the development of a Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS). The NGGPS implementation teams will present a review of their efforts including priorities and overall team/subject direction along with a summary of current work and near-term plans. Discussions will include priorities and focus areas for the next year.

Agenda Day 1, 9:00 am - 5:00 pm EDT
Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Conference Rooms

Welcome/Status of NGGPS
9:00 am	Welcome/R2O Initiative (.pdf) - Fred Toepher
9:15 am	NCEP/EMC Welcome (.pdf)
9:30 am	Overview/Status of NGGPS (.pdf) - Ivanka Stajner
Team Plans
9:45 am	Overarching system-NEMS (.pdf) - Cecilia DeLuca
10:30 am	Software Architecture and Engineering (.pptx) - John Michalakes
11:15 am	Break
11:30 am	Atmospheric Prediction - Physics - Jim Doyle/Bill Kuo
12:30 pm	Lunch
1:30 pm	Aerosols and Atmospheric Composition (.pptx) - Ivanka Stajner
2:15 pm	Atmospheric Prediction - Dynamics (.pptx) - Jeff Whitaker
3:00 pm	Break
3:15 pm	Atmospheric Data Assimilation (.pptx) - Tom Auligne
4:00 pm	Ocean Prediction (inclu. wave and ice) (.pptx) - Avichal Mehra
5:00 pm	Adjourn
Unofficial dinner	gathering Tuesday evening at 5:30 pm

Agenda Day 2, 9:00 am - 5:00 pm EDT
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Conference Rooms

9:00 am	Announcement/Recap of first day - Fred Toepfer/Ivanka Stajner
9:15 am	Land Prediction (.pptx) - Helin Wei
10:00 am	Nesting/Convective Systems (.pptx) - Vijay Tallapragada
10:45 am	Break
11:00 am	Post-Processing/Ensemble Development (.pptx) - Tom Hamill
11:45 am	Verification and Validation (.pptx) - Ivanka Stajner
12:30 pm	Lunch
1:30 pm	Global Modeling Test Bed (.pptx) - Bill Kuo
2:25 pm	Test Beds (.pptx) - Paula Davidson
3:00 pm	Wrap-up and next steps - Future Priorities - Fred Toepfer Teams break out - Cross Team Discussions
5:00 pm	Adjourn

More NGGPS Archives

2019
2018
2017
2016
2015

Office of Science and Technology Integration
Modeling Program Division

Office of Science and Technology Integration
Modeling Program Division

Office of Science and Technology Integration
Modeling Program Division

Office of Science and Technology Integration
Modeling Program Division

Navigation