2018 NGGPS Meetings and Presentations

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2018 NGGPS Meetings and Presentations

NGGPS PI Meeting Agenda
August 7, 2018
8:00 am - 4:00 pm EDT
NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP)
5830 University Research Court, College Park, MD 20740

Goals:

To assess progress of NGGPS projects from the 2016 funding opportunity for the development of the NCEP unified prediction system.
To enhance awareness at NCEP (specifically, EMC and CPC) of ongoing NGGPS projects advancing modeling and prediction.
To enhance communication between NCEP and the external community PIs and enhance community engagement in NCEP's activities.

Session 1: Data Assimilation

Session 2: Verification and Prediction/Physics

Session 3: Prediction from Days 6-10 to Weeks 3-4

8:00 am	Network/Beverage Service
8:30 am	Welcome/Introduction NGGPS Program Overview - Ming Ji, Director Update on NGGPS FFO's - Christopher Hedge
Session 1: Data Assimilation - Chair: Vijay Tallapragada (NCEP/EMC)
9:00 am	Implementation and Testing of Lognormal Humidity and Cloud-Related Control Variables for the NCEP GSI Hybrid EnVar Assimilation Scheme - Steven Fletcher (Colorado State Univ.)
9:20 am	Data Assimilation in the Vertically Extended Global Atmosphere Models of NEMS - Tim Fuller-Rowell for Valery Yudin (Univ. of Colorado)
9:40 am	Enhancing Surface Data Assimilation and Near-Surface Weather Forecasts in NGGPS through Improved Coupling between the Land Surface and Atmosphere - Zhaoxia Pu (Univ. of Utah)
10:00 am	Assimilation of GOES-R Total Lightning into GSI to improve Short-Term Forecasts of HighImpact Weather Events at Cloud Resolving Scales - Alex Fierro (Univ. of Oklahoma - CIMMS)
10:20 am	Break
Session 2: Verification/Validation and Prediction/Physics
10:40 am	A High-Resolution Blended Snow Depth Analysis for NGGPS - Cezar Kongoli (Univ. of Maryland)
11:00 am	Estimation and Correction of the GFS Systematic Model Errors - Eugenia Kalnay/Jim Carton (Univ. of Maryland)
11:20 am	Advancing Forecast Verification and Model Development Efforts through the Development of a Flexible Satellite-Based Verification System for the GFS - Jason Otkin (Univ. of Wisconsin - CIMSS)
11:40 am	Information Extraction and Verification of Convection-Allowing Models for Tornado Forecasting - Israel Jirak (NCEP-SPC)
12:00 pm	Lunch (orders taken in advance)
Session 3: Prediction from days 6-10 to Weeks 3-4
1:00 pm	Evaluation of Model Forecasts of High-Impact Precipitation and Temperature for Days 8-10 - Mike Bodner
1:20 pm	Weather Regime Diagnostic Tools for Sub-Monthly Ensemble Forecasts - Andrew Robertson (Columbia University)
1:40 pm	Developing and Testing a High-Resolution Ensemble-Based 6-10 Day Forecast System for Atmospheric Rivers and Heavy Precipitation over the Western U.S. - Cliff Mass or Greg Hakim (Univ. of Washington)
2:00 pm	Advanced Diagnostics for Tropical-MidLatitude Interactions and Teleconnections on Intraseasonal Time-Scales - Cristiana Stan (George Mason University)
2:20 pm	Break
2:40 pm	Towards Advancing the MJO and 1-30 day Weather Forecasting in the Fully Coupled NGGPS - Joshua Fu (University of Hawaii at Manoa)
3:00 pm	Improving Global Wind-Wave Probabilistic Forecasts and Products Beyond Week 2 - Ricardo Campos for Steve Penny (University of Maryland)
3:20 pm	Improving Prediction of Large-Scale Regime Transitions - Paul Roebber (University of Wisconsin Milwaukee)
3:40 pm	Wrap-up/discussion
4:00 pm	Adjourn

Coordination Meeting for the Unified Forecast System (UFS)

Strategic Implementation Plan (SIP) Annual Update
August 1 - 3, 2018
NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP)
5830 University Research Court, College Park, MD 20740
Registration: https://dtcenter.org/events/2018/2018-dtc-community-unified-forecast-system-test-plan-metrics-workshop/registration

OBJECTIVES:

The primary objective of this meeting is to finalize updates needed to the current SIP to build the draft FY19-FY21 SIP document, building on the team updates from the 31 Jan - 1 Feb 2018 SIP meeting. SIP teams will provide an update on activities and conduct further coordination of team plan documentation. Additional review/revision of the draft document will be conducted following the meeting with a goal of releasing a smooth FY19-FY21 SIP by mid-late Oct 2018.

Other objectives include a review/determination on the future strategy for NOAA NWP data assimilation as well as delivery of updates on SIP related resources and activities.

** Here is the link to the 2018 UFS SIP Annual Update Notes**

Agenda Day 1, Wednesday, August 1, 1:00 pm - 5:00 pm EDT

1:00 pm	Welcome/Introduction Admin Remarks (Fred Toepfer, OSTI/NGGPS Program Manager; Brian Gross, NCEP Office of the Director) NGGPS/SIP Overview (Ming Ji, Director NWS/OSTI, Fred Toepfer, OSTI/NGGPS Program Manager) OWAQ SIP Overview (John Cortinas, Director OWAQ) Hurricane Supplemental Overview (Fred Toepfer, OSTI/NGGPS Program Manager; DaNa Carlis, OAR Policy, Planning and Evaluation) Capacity of R&D and Operational HPC Resources for WGs and SIP Projects (Frank Indiviglio, Lead computer Scientist)
2:15 pm	Break
2:30 pm	Community Participation NCAR/NOAA MOA Overview of 7 Elements of Common Infrastructure (Hendrik Tolman, Senior Adviser for Advanced Modeling Systems) Community Participation through Common Repositories, Infrastructure, and Workflow (JEDI, FV3GFS, CAM, and coupled model development) (Hendrik Tolman, Senior Adviser for Advanced Modeling Systems) Common Community Physics Package/Community Physics Framework (Ligia Bernardet, DTC/GMTB, NOAA/GSD and CU/CIRES) Verification, Validation, and Testing for the UFS (Tara Jensen, DTC and NCAR)
3:35 pm	Break
3:40 pm	Community Participation (continued) Communications and Outreach (including UFS Portal) (Susan Jasko/Tim Schneider,SIP Communications and Outreach WG Co-Chairs, Bhavana Rakesh, OSTI)
3:50 pm	Unified Forecast System Steering Committee Overview/Update on Steering Committee Activities (Richard Rood/Hendrik Tolman, UFS-SC co-chairs) Role of Steering Committee in Guiding the UFS (Richard Rood/Hendrik Tolman) (including whether overall SIP process is moving effort to a true UFS) Discussion on Thoughts for Increasing Community Participation / Discussion on how to improve the experience of SIP Working Group participation(Richard Rood, University of Michigan/Hendrik Tolman, OSTI/Brian Gross, EMC)
5:00 pm

Agenda Day 2, Thursday, August 2, 2018 8:15 am - 5:00 pm EDT

8:00 am	Networking/Beverages
8:15 am	NGGPS Global Model Suites Planned for NCEP/EMC Operations (Vijay Tallapragada, EMC, Arun Chawla, EMC) Coupled Modeling S2S Connection to CAM from global model suite
9:00 am	Mesoscale/Convective Allowing Models (CAM)(Jack Kain, EMC, Curtis Alexander, CAM Working Group co-chairs) CAM requirements from parent model Connection to CAM from global model suite
10:00 am	Break
10:20 am	System Architecture (Cecelia DeLuca, GSD)
10:30 am	Infrastructure (Rusty Benson, GFDL)
10:50 am	Dynamics/Nesting (Vijay Tallapragada, NCEP/EMC)
11:00 am	Physics (Jack Kain, NCEP/EMC)
11:10 am	Marine (Avichal Mehra, NCEP/EMC)
11:20 am	Lunch
12:30 pm	Land / Hydrology (Helin Wei, EMC, Mike Ek, NCAR, Brian Cosgrove, OWP)
12:40 pm	Aerosols and Atmospheric Composition (Ivanka Stajner, NCEP/EMC)
12:50 pm	Ensembles (Tom Hamill, PSD)
1:00 pm	Post Processing (Jeff Craven, STI/SMB)
1:10 pm	Verification and Validation (Tara Jensen, NCAR and DTC)
1:20 pm	Break
1:30 pm	Focused Session on Data Assimilation Plans Panel: Ivanka Stajner (EMC), Tom Auligné (JCSDA), Daryl Kleist (EMC), Jeff Whitaker (PSD), Ron Gelaro (NASA) Data Assimilation WG update Proposed Operational Data Assimilation Plan JEDI Update, including CRTM Repository Strategy Discussion on Integration/Strategic Plan
2:30 pm	Break
3:00 pm	Focused Session on Data Assimilation Plans (continued)
4:00 pm	Breakout Session (arrange your own!) and DA Executive Session
5:00 pm	Adjourn for the day

Agenda Day 3, Friday, August 3, 2018 8:00 am - 2:00 pm EDT

8:00 am	Networking/Beverages
8:30 am	SIP WG Cross-Coordination Break-Out Sessions The WG were asked to coordinate efforts on projects across Annexes Address dependencies/constraints of activities Are milestones and deliverables across multi-WG projects aligned or are there gaps? What areas require further attention? What is needed for success in the FY19-21? Ways to improve communication among POCs, telcons/email updates
12:00 pm	Lunch
1:30 pm	Discussion/Wrap-Up
3:00 pm	Adjourn

Check out the NCAR Research Applications Laboratory Website for Meeting Details
Meeting Website

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