2016 NGGPS Meetings and Presentations - OSTI Modeling

Details for this event can be found at the Developmental Testbed Center's Website here

NGGPS Program Meeting
August 4 - 5, 2016
NCWCP Conference Rooms
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740

NGGPS Program Meeting Objectives
NGGPS program priorities, goals, and progress will be presented in an interactive forum for discussion and participant feedback. During the meeting, implementation team leads/co-leads will present a status update of their team efforts towards a unified global coupled system along with a summary of current work and projected long-term plans. Participant feedback during the meeting will be used in shaping NGGPS priorities and plans going forward.

Agenda Day 1, 9:00 am - 5:00 pm EDT
Thursday, August 4, 2016
Conference Rooms

9:00 am	Welcome - Fred Toepfer/Tim Schneider/Mike Ek
9:10 am	NGGPS Overview (PDF) - Ivanka Stajner/Fred Toepfer/Tim Schneider
9:40 am	NOAA's response to UMAC recommendations (.pdf) - Tim Schneider/Vijay Tallapragada
10:00 am	EMC Path Forward (PDF) - Vijay Tallapragada
10:45 am	Break
11:00 am	Atmospheric Prediction Dynamics (PDF) - Jeff Whitaker/Vijay Tallapragada
12:00 pm	Lunch
1:00 pm	Nesting (PDF) - Vijay Tallapragada
1:20 pm	Atmospheric Prediction Physics (PDF) - Ligia Bernardet/Bill Kou
2:20 pm	Global Modeling Test Bed (PDF) - Ligia Bernardet/Bill Kou
2:50 pm	Aerosols and Atmospheric Composition (.PPTX) - Ivanka Stajner/Yu-Tai Hou
3:20 pm	Break
3:35 pm	Atmospheric Data Assimilation (PDF) - John Berber/Tom Auligne
4:45 pm	Adjourn

Agenda Day 2, 8:00 am - 1:00 pm EDT
Friday, August 5, 2016
Conference Rooms

8:00 am	Welcome/Recap - Tim Schneider/Fred Toepfer/Ivanka Stajner
8:10 am	Overarching System/NEMS (PDF) - Cecilia DeLuca/Mark Iredell
8:40 am	Post-Processing (PDF) - Matthew Peroutka/Yuejian Zhu
9:10 am	Ensemble Development (PDF) - Yuejian Zhu/Tom Hamill
9:40 am	Verification and Validation (.pdf) - Ivanka Stajner/Glenn White
10:00 am	Break
10:25 am	Land Prediction (.pdf) - Helin Wei
10:55 am	NGGPS Testbed Implementation Team (.pdf) - Paula Davidson/Mike Ek
11:25 am	Marine Prediction (incl. ocean, wave, and sea ice) (.pdf) - Arun Chawla
11:55 am	Pick up lunch - Discussion World's Best Weather Prediction: A community discussion (.pdf) Plans for 2017 and beyond (.pdf) - Tim Schneider
1:00 pm	Adjourn

NGGPS FFO PI Meeting

August 2-3, 2016

NCWCP Conference Rooms

5830 University Research Court

College Park, MD 20740

FFO PI Meeting Objectives

Principal investigators/co-investigators funded through the NWS STI 2015 federally funded opportunity, will present an overview, results, and direction of their current work to accelerate critical research for the advancement of a unified coupled global system developed through the NGGPS program. The NGGPS Implementation Team Leads, and EMC scientists will provide collaborative feedback to the investigators.

Agenda Day 1 - NGGPS FFO PI 8:00 am - 4:15 pm EDT

Tuesday, August 2, 2016

Conference Rooms

Nesting/Convective Systems
8:00am	Welcome - Christopher Hedge (STI) and EMC representative
8:10am	NGGPS Overview (.pdf) - Ivanka Stajner/Fred Toepfer/Tim Schneider (STI)
8:30am	Team Lead: Vijay Tallapragada (EMC)
8:35am	Advancing Storm-Scale Forecasts over Nested Domains for High-Impact Weather (.pdf) - Eli Dennis and Michael Colbert for David Stensrud (Pennsylvania State University)
Marine
9:05am	Team Lead: Arun Chawla/Avichal Mehra (EMC)
9:10am	An Operational Hybrid 3DVar/EnKF Ocean Assimilation System-NCEP (.pdf) - Steve Penny (University of Maryland)
Physics
9:40am	Team Leads: Jim Doyle (Navy)/Bill Kuo (UCAR)/Shrinivas Moorthi (EMC)
9:45am	Integrating Unified Gravity Wave Physics into the Next Generation Global Prediction System (.pdf) - Valery Yudin for Timothy Fuller-Rowell (University of Colorado)
10:15am	Break
10:30am	Developing Physics-oriented Diagnostic Tools for Model Evaluation and Improvement (.pdf) - Zhuo Wang (University of Illinois)
Ensemble Development
11:00am	Team Leads: Tom Hamill (ESRL)/Yuejian Zhu (EMC)
11:05am	Calibration and Evaluation of GEFS Ensemble Forecasts at Weeks 2-4 (.pdf) - Ping Liu (SUNY - Stony Brook)
11:35am	Development and testing of a multi-model ensemble prediction system for sub-monthly forecasts (.pdf) - Andrew Robertson (Columbia University)
12:05pm	Lunch
1:00pm	Accelerating Development of NOAA's Next-Generation Global couple System for Week-3 and Week-4 Weather Prediction (.pdf) - James Kinter (George Mason University)
Atmospheric Data Assimilation
1:30pm	Team Lead: John Derber (EMC)/Tom Auligne (JCSDA)
1:35pm	Development of Advanced Data Assimilation Techniques for Improved use of Satellite-Derived Atmospheric Motion Vectors (pdf) - James Jung (University of Wisconsin)
2:05pm	Improving Global and Hurricane Prediction by Using Minimum-Cost Large Ensemble in GFS 4DEnVar Hybrid Data Assimilation System (pdf) - Xuguang Wang (University of Oklahoma)
2:35pm	Improved tropical cyclone initialization for NCEP operations through direct assimilation of storm information (pdf) - Daryl Kleist (University of Maryland)
3:05pm	Break
3:20pm	HIWPP Final Wrap up (.pdf) - Bonny Strong (ESRL)
3:50pm	Recap - Christopher Hedge
4:15pm	Adjourn/Unofficial Dinner

Agenda Day 2 -NGGPS FFO PI - 8:00 am - 5:00 pm EDT

Wednesday, August 3, 2016

Conference Rooms

Land Surface and Remote Sensing
8:00am	Welcome - Christopher Hedge (STI)
8:05am	Testbed Overview (.pdf) - Paula Davidson (STI)
8:15am	Incorporation of near-real-time Suomi NPP Green Vegetation Fraction and Land Surface Temperature data into NCEP Land modeling suite (.pdf) - Ivan Csiszar (NESDIS/STAR)
8:45am	Enhancing NCEP GFS Forecasts via Assimilating Satellite Soil Moisture and Snow Observations (.pdf) - Christopher Hain (University of Maryland)
Synoptic Scale
9:15am	Application of a Hybrid Dynamical-Statistical Model for Week 3 to 4 Forecast of Atlantic/Pacific Tropical Storm and Hurricane Activities (.pdf) - Jae-Kyung Schemm (NCEP-CPC)
9:45am	Exploitation of Ensemble Prediction System Information in support of Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis Prediction (.pdf) - Christopher Thorncroft (SUNY- Albany)
10:15am	Break
10:30am	An Investigation of the Skill of Week Two Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Forecasts at the NCEP-WPC (.pdf) - Lance Bosart (SUNY- Albany)
11:00am	Validation of Significant Weather Features and Processes in Operational Models Using a Cyclone Relative Approach (.pdf) - Brian Colle (SUNY- Stony Brook)
Storm-Scale (Severe Weather)
11:30am	Test and Evaluation of Rapid Post-Processing and Information Extraction From Large Convection Allowing Ensembles Applied to 0-3hr Tornado Outlooks (.pdf) - James Correia (University of Oklahoma)
12:00pm	Lunch
1:00pm	Data Mining of High-Resolution Storm-Scale Datasets - (.pdf) - Travis Smith (University of Oklahoma)
1:30pm	Information Extraction and Verification of Numerical Weather Prediction for Severe Weather Forecasting (.pdf) - Israel Jirak (University of Oklahoma)
2:00pm	Improvement of Convective/Severe Weather Prediction through an Integrative Analysis of WRF Simulations and NEXRAD/GOES Observations over the CONUS (.pdf) - Aaron Kennedy for Xiquan Dong (University of North Dakota)
Post-Processing
2:30pm	Team Leads: Matt Peroutka (STI)/Yuejian Zhu (EMC)
2:35pm	Subseasonal Prediction over the Western US (.pdf) - Cliff Mass (University of Washington)
3:05pm	Break
Physics
3:20pm	Team Leads: Tim Doyle (Navy)/Bill Kou (NCAR)/Shrinivas Moorthi (EMC)
3:50pm	Investigation of Aerosol Effects on Weather Forecast using NCEP Global Forecast System (.pdf) - Jun Wang for Sarah Lu (SUNY- Albany)
4:20pm	Evaluating the Impact of Cloud-Aerosol-Precipitation Interaction (CAPI) Schemes on Rainfall Forecast in the NGGPS (.pdf) - Zhanqing Li (University of Maryland)
4:50pm	Recap FFO PI Meeting - Christopher Hedge (STI)
5:00pm	Adjourn

HIWPP/NGGPS Program Status Meeting
February 9-10, 2016
NCWCP Conference Rooms
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740

NGGPS Program Meeting Objectives

Provide a status update of High Impact Weather Prediction Project (HIWPP) projects, products completed, and lessons learned.
Provide a status update of the R2O Initiative for the development of a Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS). The NGGPS implementation teams will present a review of their efforts including a summary status of current work and near- and long-term plans.

Agenda Day 1, 8:00 am - 5:00 pm EDT
Tuesday, February 9, 2016
Conference Rooms

8:00 am	Welcome - R2O/NGGPS Initiative (.pdf) (Fred Toepfer/Ivanka Stajner)
8:10 am	Welcome - HIWPP (Tim Schneider/Bonny Strong)
8:20 am	NCEP/EMC Welcome (EMC)
HIWPP Science reports Presentation of research results, papers planned, products completed, remaining tasks, and next steps
8:30 am	Hydrostatic models – deterministic and ensembles (.pdf) - (Stan Benjamin, Isidora Jankov)
8:50 am	Parameterization Development: Unified Representation of Turbulence and Clouds (.pdf) - (Shrinivas Moorthi)
9:05 am	Physics Parameterizations: Scale and Aerosol Aware Stochastic Convective Parameterization (.pdf) - (Georg Grell)
9:20 am	Assimilation/Ensembles/Stochastic Physics (.pdf) - (Jeff Whitaker)
9:40 am	Break
10:00 am	Massively Parallel Fine Grain (MPFG)/GPU Optimization (.pdf) - (Mark Govett)
10:20 am	Moving Hurricane Nest (.pdf) - (S. Gopalakrishnan, Vijay Tallapragada)
10:45 am	NMME Expansion (.pdf) - (Jin Huang)
11:05 am	Test Program and NEIS (.pdf) - (Bonny Strong/Jebb Stewart)
11:30 am	HIWPP Project management issues (.pdf) - (Tim Schneider, Bonny Strong) Final reports, any identified resource issues, etc.
12:00 pm	Lunch
1:00 pm	HIWPP Project Lessons Learned discussion (.pdf) - (Tim Schneider, Bonny Strong)
2:45 pm	HIWPP Wrap-up (.pdf) - (Tim Schneider)
3:00 pm	Break
3:15 pm	Atmospheric Prediction - Dynamics NGGPS Team Briefing (.pdf) - (Jeff Whitaker/Vijay Tallapragada)
4:15 pm	Nesting/Convective Systems (.pdf) - (Vijay Tallapragada)
5:00 pm	Adjourn

Agenda Day 2, 8:00 am - 5:00 pm EDT
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Conference Rooms

8:00 am	Welcome/Recap (Fred Toepfer/Ivanka Stajner
8:10 am	Overview/Status of NGGPS Implementation (.pdf) - (Ivanka Stajner)
8:30 am	Overarching System – NEMS (.pdf) - (Cecilia DeLuca/Mark Iredell)
9:00 am	Software Architecture and Engineering (including NEMS) (.pdf) - (Hendrik Tolman)
9:30 am	Coupled System Development (.pdf) - (Suranjana Saha)
10:00 am	Break
10:15 am	Atmospheric Prediction - Physics (.pdf) - (Jim Doyle/Shrinivas Moorthi)
11:15 am	Aerosols and Atmospheric Composition (.pdf) - (Ivanka Stajner/Yu-Tai Hou)
11:45 am	Atmospheric Data Assimilation (.pdf) - (John Derber)
12:15 pm	Lunch
1:15 pm	Ocean Prediction (incl. wave and sea ice) (.pdf) - (Avichal Mehra)
2:00 pm	Land Prediction (.pdf) - (Mike Ek)
2:30 pm	Post-Processing/Ensemble Development (.pdf) - (Tom Hamill/Yuejian Zhu)
3:00 pm	Break
3:15 pm	Test Beds (.pdf) - (Paula Davidson/Suru Saha)
3:45 pm	Verification and Validation - (Ivanka Stajner/Glenn White)
4:15 pm	Global Modeling Test Bed (.pdf) - (Ligia Bernardet)
4:45 pm	Wrap-up and next steps/Future Priorities - (Fred Toepfer/Ivanka Stajner)
5:00 pm	Adjourn

Office of Science and Technology Integration
Modeling Program Division

Office of Science and Technology Integration
Modeling Program Division

Office of Science and Technology Integration
Modeling Program Division

Office of Science and Technology Integration
Modeling Program Division

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