February, 2024

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) improves sea ice subseasonal outlooks

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) started issuing routine sea ice subseasonal outlooks in 2018 based on an experimental sea ice prediction system (CFSm5) modified from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2). Sea ice forecasts have been shown to be improved in CFSm5 over the NCEP operational CFSv2 during melt seasons.  Read more...

April 13, 2022

Enhanced Global Tropical Hazards (GTH) outlook product at the Climate Prediction Center

The NCEP’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) operationally releases a Global Tropics Hazards Outlook (GTH) that targets precipitation and temperature related hazards each week. Through an OSTI-funded project, a team led by CPC scientist Jon Gottschalck is currently updating the GTH. The new product will be probabilistic and in format and will feature extended outlooks targeting weeks 2-3. Read more...

March 25, 2022

R2O Success story - Implementation of a snowpack treatment in the Leaky Bucket model improves CPC’s drought monitoring and prediction

Through an OSTI-funded project, University of Arizona professor Xubin Zeng and team in close collaboration with NCEP scientists developed and implemented a snowpack treatment in the Leaky Bucket model at the NCEP Climate Prediction Center (CPC), that has improved the CPC’s operational drought monitoring and prediction products.  Read more...

January 15, 2022

Development of a new Arctic sea ice prediction system with the FV3-based Unified Forecast System

Development of a new sea ice prediction system based on the Unified Forecast System (UFS) atmosphere-ocean-sea ice coupled system, an OSTI-funded project at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has seen promising results over the past year. Read more...