Home - Weeks 3-4/S2S Webinar Series
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A Webinar Series blending research and operations
OAR/WPO S2S Program and NWS/OSTI-Modeling invite you to join a monthly webinar series for Weeks 3-4 and S2S. The objectives are to establish a forum where development and research works funded by various programs of NWS and OAR can be shared across the community. For greater comprehensiveness, we would like to offer these webinars as a forum for the laboratories to share their work as well.
We would like to foster a relaxed, informal dialogue among forecasters, modelers and researchers. The one hour long webinar will host a few 15 or 25 minute talks. These talks might not be a summary of a complete project, but instead would focus on intermediate results that may benefit from and provide feedback with the community.
Recent Webinar - November 6th, 2024
The Role of Land-Atmosphere Coupling in Subseasonal Surface Air Temperature Prediction
Presenter: Yuna Lim
Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland College Park
Dynamical Filtering of Tropical Subseasonal Variability in Observations and Forecast Models
Presenter: David Marsico
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder
Webinar Schedule
| Title | Author | Date |
|---|---|---|
| The Role of Land-Atmosphere Coupling in Subseasonal Surface Air Temperature Prediction |
Yuna Lim Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland College Park |
November 6th, 2024 2-3 PM EDT |
| Dynamical Filtering of Tropical Subseasonal Variability in Observations and Forecast Models |
David Marsico Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder |
November 6th, 2024 2-3 PM EDT |
| Identifying Subseasonal Forecasts of Opportunity Using Explainable AI |
Marybeth Arcodia Dept of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University |
October 7, 2024 2-3 PM EDT |
| Evaluation of Moist Static Energy Related to Boreal Winter Intraseasonal Tropical Waves in UFS P8 |
Nakbin Choi Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences, George Mason University |
October 7, 2024 2-3 PM EDT |
| Timothy Higgins Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO |
July 1st, 2024 2:00 PM- 2:25 PM EST | |
| The Tibetan Plateau-Rocky Mountains Circumglobal (TRC) Wave Train and S2S Precipitation Prediction Regionally and Globally: Results from the GEWEX/LS4P Project | Yongkang Xue, A. Bonne, T. Yao, I. Diallo, X. Zeng, D. Neelin, W. K.-M. Lau, F. Vitart, Y. Zhang, Q. Tang and LS4P Team University of California, Los Angeles, CA |
July 1st, 2024 2:30 PM- 2:55 PM EST |
| Modeling impacts of dust mineralogy on fast climate response |
Drs. Qianqian Song, and Paul Ginoux Earth System Processes and Interactions Division, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey |
June 3rd, 2024 2:00 PM- 2:25 PM EST |
| Updates on UFS-based Coupled GEFS |
Dr. Bing Fu, PhD |
June 3rd, 2024 2:30 PM- 2:55 PM EST |
| Size-dependent sensitivity of northern hemisphere extratropical cyclones to atmosphere resolution change in the GFDL SPEAR model |
Drs. J. Lee (1, 2) , X. Yang (2) , E. K. M. Chang (3) , and H. Murakami (2) (1) Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, (2) National NOAA GFDL, Princeton, New Jersey, USA. (3) School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York |
May 6th, 2024 2:00 PM- 2:25 PM EST |
| Winter's Warming Trends: Insights from the 2021 Winter Warm Spells in the Southern Great Plains | Taylor Grace, Dr. Kathy Pegion, and Dr. Jeffrey Basara | April 1st, 2024 2:00 PM- 2:25 PM EST |
| Future Changes In Seasonal Climate Predictability |
Dr. Dillon Amaya, PhD. |
April 1st, 2024 2:30 PM- 2:55 PM EST |
| Applied climate Services: Managing Risk for Food Production, Fire Mitigation, and Energy Production in Guatemala |
Dr. Diego Pons, PhD. University of Denver, Denver, CO |
March 4th, 2024 2:00 PM- 2:25 PM EST |
| Tropical and Midlatitude S2S Prediction using UFS and Machine Learning |
Drs. Eric D. Maloney, Elizabeth Barnes, Jack Cahill, Zaibeth Carlo Frontera, Yu-Cian Tsai, PhD. Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University |
March 4th, 2024 2:30 PM- 2:55 PM EST |
| California Investments in Forecasting Development | Dr. Michael L Anderson, PhD., PE State Climatologist, California Department of Water Resources |
February 5th, 2024 2:00-2:25 PM |
| On the seasonal predictability and forecast skill of the North Pacific western boundary current system and adjacent marginal seas | Dr. Youngji Joh, PhD. Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ |
February 5th, 2024 2:30-2:55 PM |
|
Calibrated probabilistic sub-seasonal forecasting for Pakistan’s monsoon rainfall during 2022 |
Dr. Bohar Singh |
November 6th, 2023 2:00 - 2:25 PM ET |
| A Polar Low Genesis Potential Index and Its Application to Subseasonal Prediction | Dr. Zhuo Wang Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois | November 6th, 2023 2:25 - 2:55 PM ET |
| Update on the Development of the MJO-Teleconnections Diagnostics Package | Cristiana Stan, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA | Oct 2nd, 2023 2:05 - 2:30 PM ET |
| Strongly Coupled Land-Atmosphere Data Assimilation and Its influence on Near-surface Weather Forecasting |
Dr. Zhaoxia Pu Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Utah |
April 3rd, 2023 2:00 - 2:25 PM ET |
| What caused the quad-states tornado outbreak on 10-11 December 2021? |
Dr. Dongmin Kim, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, FL | March 6th, 2023 2:00 - 2:25 PM ET |
| Dr. Rochelle Worsnop, CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO |
Feb 6th, 2023 2:30 - 2:55 PM ET |
|
|
Improving Atmospheric Models by Accounting for Chaotic Physics |
Dr. Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO |
Feb 6th, 2023 2:00 - 2:25 PM ET |
|
Applying Machine Learning to Improve Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Forecasts |
Dr. Judah Cohen, Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Lexington, MA |
November 7, 2022 2:00 - 2:25 PM ET |
|
Bayesian Joint Probability (BJP) Calibration of Subseasonal Model Forecasts |
Dr. Dan Collins, NOAA/CPC |
November 7, 2022 2:00 - 2:25 PM ET |
|
Strongly Coupled Data Assimilation with a Linear Inverse Model |
Dr. Greg Hakim, University of Washington |
October 3, 2022 2:00 - 2:25 PM ET |
| Dr. David Straus, George Mason University |
October 3, 2022 2:00 - 2:25 PM ET |
|
|
Captured QBO-MJO Connection in a Subseasonal Prediction System |
Kai Huang, PhD Candidate, George Mason University |
September 12, 2022 2:30 - 2:55 PM ET |
|
The Development of UFS Coupled GEFS for Weather and Subseasonal Forecasts |
Dr. Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC |
August 8, 2022 2 PM ET |
| Direct assessment of the surface impacts of the January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming with S2S ensemble forecasts | Dr. Nicholas Davis, NCAR | June 6, 2022 2 PM ET |
| IRI SubX-based Real-Time Subseasonal Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts | Dr. Andrew W. Robertson, IRI, Columbia Climate School, Columbia University | June 6, 2022 2 PM ET |
| Understanding Predictability of Daily Southeast US Precipitation using Explainable Machine Learning | Ms. Kathleen Pegion, George Mason University | May 3, 2022 2 PM ET |
| Recent Enhancements to METplus for Weeks 3-4 Evaluation and Diagnostics | Ms. Tara Jensen, NCAR | May 3, 2022 2 PM ET |
| A Deep Learning Filter for Intraseasonal Variability of the Tropics | Mr. Rama Sesha Sridhar Mantripragada, George Mason University | March 7, 2022 2 PM ET |
| Application of Large-scale Precipitation Tracking (LPT) to Real-time MJO Monitoring and Forecasts | Dr. Edmund Chang, Stony Brook University & Ms. Yutong Pan, NOAA/NWS/CPC | March 7, 2022 2 PM ET |
| Developing and Verifying a Subseasonal Outlook Tool for Extratropical Storminess | Dr. Chidong Zhang, NOAA/OAR/PMEL & Dr. Wanqiu Wang, NOAA/NWS/CPC | February 7, 2022 2 PM ET |
| A seasonal probabilistic forecast system for U.S. regional precipitation based on the tropical Pacific and Atlantic SSTAs | Dr. Dongmin Kim, NOAA/AOML | December 6, 2021 2 PM ET |
| The development, evaluation and applications of CPC Week 2-4 excessive heat forecast tools and services | Mr. Jon Gottschalck, NOAA/CPC | December 6, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Improving S2S precipitation forecasts in UFS through Tropical Nudging and Explainable Machine Learning | Dr. Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University | November 1, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Predicting Indian Monsoon onset in S2S scale: A Machine Learning Framework | Dr. Nachiketa Acharya, Pennsylvania State University | November 1, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Using Simple, Explainable Neural Networks to Predict the Madden-Julian Oscillation | Dr. Zane Martin, Colorado State University | October 4, 2021 2 PM ET |
| The CPC Global Tropics Hazards Outlook: Background, Current Operational Products and Work to Transition to a Probabilistic Format Targeting the Week 2-3 Period | Mr. Jon Gottschalck, NOAA/NWS/CPC | October 4, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Developing Experimental S2S Sea Ice Predictions with a UFS-based System | Dr. Wanqiu Wang, NOAA/NWS/CPC | September 13, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Evaluating the Potential of a Blocking Predictor in a Hybridized Dynamical-statistical Model for Improved Week 3-4 Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks | Dr. Cory Baggett, NOAA/NWS/CPC | September 13, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Tropical Dynamics Diagnostics for Numerical Weather Prediction | Dr. Maria Gehne, NOAA/OAR/PSL & CIRES/CU Boulder | August 2, 2021 2 PM ET |
| METplus Verification and Diagnostics Framework for S2S | Ms. Tara Jensen, NCAR/RAL | August 2, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Development of Fully Coupled UFS-based Seasonal-to-Subseasonal Prototypes | Dr. Avichal Mehra, NOAA/NWS/EMC | June 7, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Open Community Development Using the UFS-Weather-Model | Dr. Arun Chawla, NOAA/NWS/EMC | June 7, 2021 2 PM ET |
| A Subseasonal Earth System Prediction Framework with CESM2 and its Application to the January 2021 Sudden Stratopheric Warming | Dr. Jadwiga (Yaga) Richter, NCAR | May 3, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Understanding Coupled vs Uncoupled GEFS Subseasonal Forecast Skill Differences | Dr. Xin-Zhong Liang, University of Maryland | May 3, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Accelerating Progress in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Capabilities by Improving Subgrid-Scale Parameterizations in the UFS | Dr. Benjamin Green, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSL-CIRES | April 5, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Seamless S2S Prediction at GFDL: Coupled and Convective-Scale Prediction | Dr. Lucas Harris, NOAA/OAR/GFDL | April 5, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction of Atmospheric Rivers, Ridging Events, and Precipitation over the Western U.S. to Benefit Water Management | Dr. Michael DeFlorio, University of California San Diego | March 1, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Seasonal Prediction with Ocean Eddy Resolving Models | Dr. Ben Kirtman, University of Miami - CIMAS | March 1, 2021 2 PM ET |
| A Toolbox for Verification and Validation of Subseasonal Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling Processes in NOAA's Unified Forecast System | Dr. Zachary Lawrence, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/PSL-CIRES | February 1, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Hybrid Prediction of Weekly Tornado Activity out to Week 3: Utilizing Weather Regimes | Dr. Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois | October 5, 2020 2 PM ET |
| MJO Prediction Skill and Eddy Meridional Mixing of Moisture: Insights from a Model with Superparameterized Physics | Dr. Stefan Tulich, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/PSL-CIRES | February 1, 2021 2 PM ET |
| MJO-ENSO Interaction in an Energetic Framework | Dr. Cristiana Stan, George Mason University | January 4, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Skillful Subseasonal Prediction of the United States Extreme Warm Days and Standardized Precipitation Index in Boreal Summer | Dr. Douglas Miller, University of Illinois |
January 4, 2021 2 PM ET |
| Sources of Tropical Subseasonal Skill in CFSv2 | Dr. Carl Schreck, North Carolina State University | November 2, 2020 2 PM ET |
| The Role of Air-sea Coupling in SubX | Dr. Ben Kirtman, University of Miami-CIMAS | November 2, 2020 2 PM ET |
| Predictability of the UFS over CONUS at Subseasonal Time Scale during Boreal Summer | Dr. V. Krishnamurthy, George Mason University | October 5, 2020 2 PM ET |