Weeks 3-4 Products & Stakeholders - OSTI Modeling - Virtual Lab

Weeks 3-4 Program

Stakeholders & Products

Stakeholder Products Based on GEFS Reforecasts and Real-Time Forecasts

Weather Prediction Center (WPC)

Climate Prediction Center (CPC)

Weeks 3-4 Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks
Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks
Monthly U.S. Drought Outlook
Weeks 2-3 Global Tropics Hazards Outlook
Weeks 1-6 Sea Ice Outlook
Days 1-15 MJO Ensemble Forecast Tools
Days 8-14 U.S. Hazards Outlook
Days 1-14 AO, NAO, and PNA Ensemble and Ensemble Mean Teleconnection Outlooks
Days 1-14 Ensemble Blocking Index and Frequency Outlooks by Hemisphere
Experimental Week 2 (Days 8-14) U.S. Fire Weather Forecasts
Experimental Week 2 and Weeks 3-4 U.S. Storminess Outlook
Experimental Week 2 U.S. Severe Weather Outlook

Office of Water Prediction (OWP)

Medium-Range-to-Subseasonal Probabilistic Streamflow Outlook Dashboard from HEFS and NWM hydrologic guidance forced with GEFS forecast and reforecast data
Medium-Range-to-Subseasonal Probabilistic River Level Outlooks from HEFS hydrologic guidance forced with GEFS forecast data
S2S Volumetric Water Supply Outlooks from hydrologic guidance forced with GEFS forecast data
HEFS Medium-Range-to-Subseasonal Flood Probability Forecast Product

Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) and U.S. National Ice Center (USNIC)

National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL)

Experimental AI/ML Days 1-15 U.S. Daily Severe Weather Outlook

GEFS-based Stakeholder Products in Development

Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory (GLERL)

GEFS-forced Ensemble Great Lakes Coastal Forecast System

National Ocean Service (NOS)

Subseasonal-to-Annual Monthly Coastal High Tide Flooding Outlook with Experimental Dynamically Downscaled GEFS Forecast Guidance

National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL)

Experimental GEFS Days 1-15 U.S. Daily Weather Regimes Product