EMC Strategic Vision

The fundamental mission of the NCEP/NWS Environmental Modeling Center (EMC), in close collaboration with our partners and stakeholders, is to maintain, enhance and transition-to-operations advanced numerical guidance systems for the Nation's weather/water/climate enterprise and the global community for the protection of life/property and the enhancement of the economy. To that end, and reflecting our vision to be one of the world's best and most trusted providers of numerical guidance, EMC is committed to a multi-year plan to use the NOAA Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) as the foundation upon which to build a Unified Forecast System for the future NCEP Production Suite. The envisioned end state would be a simplified production suite under this unified framework using a single dynamic core for all temporal and spatial model scales which is fully coupled and ensemble-based. By its active participation in the NGGPS Strategic Implementation Plan Working Groups, EMC is fully engaged with the nation's weather/water/climate community in all aspects of the project, from research/development to testing and validation.

A high-level overview of EMC's vision and how it adheres to the overarching NOAA Unified Modeling framework is outlined in the EMC Director's presentation at the 2017 NCEP Production Suite Review on December 4, 2017. Short-term activities are outlined in the 2019-2021 UFS/NGGPS Implementation Plan, which describes the major EMC and community development and implementation projects for this time frame.

 

Review Panel

Name Title Institution
Jon Petch Associate Director of Weather Science UKMO
Veronique Bouchet Director General  ECCC
Jim Doyle Marine Meterology Division/Head of Mesoscale Modeling Section Navy/NRL
Steve Pawson Chief of GMAO NASA
Bill Kuo Director of UCAR Community Programs NCAR
Tim Canty Co-Director of Undergraduate and Professional Masters Univ. of Maryland
Paul Roebber Distinguished Professor Univ. of Wisconsin
Scott Glenn Distinguished Professor Rutgers U. 
Peter Neilly Director of Weather Forecasting Services, Weather Company IBM
Betsy Weatherhead Senior Scientist Jupiter
Alicia Karspeck Director of the Earth Information and Cloud for Climate Programs SilverLining

 

Agenda

Google Meet joining info
Video call link: https://meet.google.com/obt-miuu-bra
Or dial: (US) +1 423-707-2695 PIN: 245 820 602#
More phone numbers: https://tel.meet/obt-miuu-bra?pin=5957505879681
 

Tuesday June 6th

Time Description Presentation
7:30 am - 8:30 am Breakfast with NCEP Leadership, STI Leadership and Review Panel (Closed) Location TBD  
8:30 am - 9:00 am Travel to NCWCP  
9:00 am - 9:15 am Logistics (Ivanka Stajner, Deputy Director, EMC)  
9:15 am - 9:30 am Opening Remarks (Mike Farrar, Director, NWS/NCEP)
9:30 am - 9:45 am Opening Remarks (Stephan Smith, Director, NWS/OSTI)
9:45 am - 10:00 am Break  
Review Theme 1: Organization and Management    
10:00 am - 11:00 am Overview of EMC (Brian Gross, Director, EMC)
11:00 am - 12:00 pm Overview of Staffing, Budget, and Contract Management (Ivanka Stajner, Deputy Director, EMC)
12:00 pm - 12:30 pm Overview of Project Management (Raffaele Montuoro, Lead Project Manager, EMC)
12:30 pm - 1:30 pm Lunch with EMC staff  
Review Theme 2: Applied Research & Development    
1:30 pm - 2:30 pm Model Development Priorities (Vijay Tallapragada, Senior Scientist, EMC)
2:30 pm - 2:45 pm From Development to Operations (Rahul Mahajan)
2:45 pm - 3:15 pm Break  
3:15 pm - 5:50 pm Major Applications/Systems
Introduction to Coupled Modeling Division (CMD) and Coupled Systems (Avichal Mehra)
Global Forecast System (Jessica Meixner)
NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System - v12 & v13 (Yuejian Zhu & Neil Barton)
Hurricane Forecast Systems (Zhan Zhang)
NWPSv1.4 & GLWUv2.0 (Saeideh Banihashemi)
RTOFS v2 and Sea Ice Analysis (Neil Barton)
An Overview of the Real Time and UnRestricted Analysis Systems (Manuel Pondeca)
Planned CAM transition to a unified RRFS configuration (Matthew Pyle)
6:00 pm - 6:20 pm Panel Discussion (Closed)  
6:20 pm - 6:30 pm Transport back to hotel  
6:30 pm - 8:30 pm Dinner (open to NCEP, STI, and EMC)  

Wednesday June 7th

Time Description Presentation
8:00 am -8:30 am Transport from Hotel to NCWCP  
8:30 am - 10:15 am Data Assimilation
Introduction to Data Assimilation Division (DAD) (Daryl Kleist)
Observations Processing: Legacy and JEDI outlook (Iliana Genkova, Emily Liu, Shelley Melchior)
Global Data Assimilation (Catherine Thomas, Andrew Collard, Emily Liu)
Regional Data Assimilation (Jacob Carley, Shun Liu, Manuel Pondeca)
Non-atmospheric and Coupled DA (Guillaume Vernieres, Cory Martin)
Joint Effort for Data assimilation Integration (JEDI) Transition (Cory Martin, Guillaume Vernieres)
10-year DA Strategy Highlights (Russ Treadon, Daryl Kleist)
10:15 am - 10:30 am Break  
10:30 am - 12:15 pm Physics and Dynamics
Introduction to Physics and Dynamics Division (PDD) (Fanglin Yang)
Dynamics, Physics-Dynamics Coupling, and the Whole Atmosphere Model (Kevin Viner)
Common Community Physics Package (CCPP) and Applications in the UFS (Qingfu Liu)
Land Modeling and Land Data Assimilation (Michael Barlage)
Updates in the NCEP GFS Cumulus Convection and PBL schemes (Jongil Han)
Cloud Microphysics and Cloud-aerosol Interaction (Ruiyu Sun)
Atmospheric Composition Modeling (Jeff McQueen)
12:15 pm - 1:15 pm Lunch with EMC Staff  
Review Theme 3: Operational Implementation    
1:15 pm - 3:15 pm Model Verification and Products
Introduction to Model Verification and Products: The Verification and Products Division (VPD) at EMC (Jason Levit)
Overview of Post Processing and Product Generation (Hui-Ya Chuang)
World Area Forecast System (WAFS) and ICAO/Aviation Products at EMC (Hui-Ya Chuang)
Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS) Products Overview (Andrew Benjamin)
Ensemble Products Overview (Jun Du)
Overview of Evaluation and Verification at EMC (Geoff Manikin)
Global Verification (Alicia Bentley)
Regional Verification (Logan Dawson)
3:15 pm - 3:45 pm Break  
3:45 pm - 5:50 pm Engineering and Implementation
Introduction to the Engineering & Implementation Division (EID) (Arun Chawla)
HPC Infrastructure (Arun Chawla)
UFS Weather Model (Jun Wang, Denise Worthen, Dusan Jovic)
Overarching Infrastructure (Jeff Ator, George Gayno, Edward Hartnett, Alexander Richert)
Model Optimization & Compression (Jun Wang, Edward Hartnet)
Global workflow (Rahul Mahajan)
Challenges & Opportunities (Arun Chawla)
6:00 pm - 6:20 pm Panel Discussion (Closed)  
6:20 pm - 6:30 pm Transport back to hotel  
6:30 pm - 8:30 pm Dinner (open to NCEP, STI, and EMC)  

Thursday June 8th

Time Description Presentation
7:30 am - 8:00 am Transport from Hotel to NCWCP  
8:00 am - 9:00 am Review Panel with EMC Leadership  
9:00 am - 9:30 am Wrap-up with STI Portfolio Manager, NCEP Director, EMC Director and Deputy Director  
9:30 am - 10:00 am Break  
10:00 am - 1:00 pm Review Panel internal deliberations (and writing) + Lunch Break  
1:00 pm - 2:00 pm Review Panel reflections and report to STI and NCEP Leadership and EMC Director and Deputy Director  
2:00 pm End  

Logistics

Review Dates June 6 to June 8, 2023  
Google Meet JOIN LINK Dial: (US) +1 423-707-2695 PIN: 245 820 602#
More numbers https://tel.meet/obt-miuu-bra?pin=5957505879681
Location 5830 University Research Ct, College Park, MD 20740 Google Maps
Travel June 5 and June 8 or 9, 2023 The review will end by 2:00 pm Thursday
Schedule available under Agenda tab
Hotel The Hotel at University of Maryland Hotel Website
Meals
Breakfast Lunch Dinner
Provided at hotel we will be meeting Tuesday at Bagels & Grind; other mornings you can choose to wherever you'd like, will be per diem reimbursed Provided to reviewers on site at Kloud Cafe (Tuesday, Wednesday, & Thursday) Group dinner arrangements are in-process and will be communicated at the review. (This will be a reimbursed per diem rate)