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Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs - January VLab Forum

JS
John Schattel, modified 2 Months ago.

Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs - January VLab Forum

Youngling Posts: 559 Join Date: 11/21/11 Recent Posts

VLab Forum Members,

The January 2025 VLab Forum will occur on the  23rd at 1:00 - 2:00 PM (EST) and features a presentation titled "Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs".  The talk is being given by John L Wagner who is a Meteorologist in the Meteorological Development Laboratory's Digital Forecast Services Division in Silver Spring, MD.  We hope you can attend.

To participate in the forum, please register for the webinar.

Abstract:

Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDFs) are used to express the expected error of calibrated probabilistic forecast systems. This year, the MDL Verification Team will introduce probabilistic verification scores of CDFs to the Verification Viewer. These new scores will measure the accuracy, reliability, and quality of calibrated CDFs from the National Blend of Models and the Weather Prediction Center. In this talk, we will discuss what these new scores are and how they should be used to assess the quality of probabilistic forecasts.

Agenda:

You can find the agenda for the Forum at the following link:

Add to Your Calendar:

To add this VLab Forum meeting to your calendar, please click on the following button.

Add to Your Google Calendar

Unsubscribe/subscribe to VLab Forum announcements (You must be logged into the VLab)
JS
John Schattel, modified 2 Months ago.

RE: Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs - January VLab Forum

Youngling Posts: 559 Join Date: 11/21/11 Recent Posts

VLab Forum Members,

Just a quick reminder that the January 2025 VLab Forum will occur this Thursday, the 23rd, at 1:00 - 2:00 PM (EST) and features a presentation titled "Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs".  The talk is being given by John L Wagner who is a Meteorologist in the Meteorological Development Laboratory's Digital Forecast Services Division in Silver Spring, MD.  We hope you can attend.

To participate in the forum, please register for the webinar.

Abstract:

Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDFs) are used to express the expected error of calibrated probabilistic forecast systems. This year, the MDL Verification Team will introduce probabilistic verification scores of CDFs to the Verification Viewer. These new scores will measure the accuracy, reliability, and quality of calibrated CDFs from the National Blend of Models and the Weather Prediction Center. In this talk, we will discuss what these new scores are and how they should be used to assess the quality of probabilistic forecasts.

Agenda:

You can find the agenda for the Forum at the following link:

Add to Your Calendar:

To add this VLab Forum meeting to your calendar, please click on the following button.

Add to Your Google Calendar

Unsubscribe/subscribe to VLab Forum announcements (You must be logged into the VLab)
JS
John Schattel, modified 2 Months ago.

RE: Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs - January VLab Forum

Youngling Posts: 559 Join Date: 11/21/11 Recent Posts

VLab Forum Members,

For those who want to preview the slides for tomorrow's presentation, please visit the VLab Forum page and see the "View It" section for the talk.

Recall that the January 2025 VLab Forum will occur on the 23rd, at 1:00 - 2:00 PM (EST) and features a presentation titled "Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs".  The talk is being given by John L Wagner who is a Meteorologist in the Meteorological Development Laboratory's Digital Forecast Services Division in Silver Spring, MD.  We hope you can attend.

To participate in the forum, please register for the webinar.

Abstract:

Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDFs) are used to express the expected error of calibrated probabilistic forecast systems. This year, the MDL Verification Team will introduce probabilistic verification scores of CDFs to the Verification Viewer. These new scores will measure the accuracy, reliability, and quality of calibrated CDFs from the National Blend of Models and the Weather Prediction Center. In this talk, we will discuss what these new scores are and how they should be used to assess the quality of probabilistic forecasts.

Agenda:

You can find the agenda for the Forum at the following link:

Slides:

You can find the slides for the Forum at the following link:

Add to Your Calendar:

To add this VLab Forum meeting to your calendar, please click on the following button.

Add to Your Google Calendar

Unsubscribe/subscribe to VLab Forum announcements (You must be logged into the VLab)
JS
John Schattel, modified 2 Months ago.

RE: Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs - January VLab Forum

Youngling Posts: 559 Join Date: 11/21/11 Recent Posts

VLab Forum Members,

Just a  quick reminder that the January 2025 VLab Forum will occur today, the 23rd, at 1:00 - 2:00 PM (EST) and features a presentation titled "Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs".  The talk is being given by John L Wagner who is a Meteorologist in the Meteorological Development Laboratory's Digital Forecast Services Division in Silver Spring, MD.  We hope you can attend.

To participate in the forum, please register for the webinar.

Abstract:

Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDFs) are used to express the expected error of calibrated probabilistic forecast systems. This year, the MDL Verification Team will introduce probabilistic verification scores of CDFs to the Verification Viewer. These new scores will measure the accuracy, reliability, and quality of calibrated CDFs from the National Blend of Models and the Weather Prediction Center. In this talk, we will discuss what these new scores are and how they should be used to assess the quality of probabilistic forecasts.

Agenda:

You can find the agenda for the Forum at the following link:

Slides:

You can find the slides for the Forum at the following link:

Add to Your Calendar:

To add this VLab Forum meeting to your calendar, please click on the following button.

Add to Your Google Calendar

Unsubscribe/subscribe to VLab Forum announcements (You must be logged into the VLab)
JS
John Schattel, modified 2 Months ago.

RE: Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs - January VLab Forum

Youngling Posts: 559 Join Date: 11/21/11 Recent Posts

VLab Forum Members,

For those of you who were unable to attend today's VLab Forum, I have posted a recording of the talk titled "Probabilistic Verification of Calibrated CDFs" to the following VLab page. Feel free to watch it at your convenience or share it with your co-workers.

VLab Forum talks and their recordings