To whom it may concern,
At OTX, we've observed a consistent wet bias in the URMA observation
grid, particularly with minimum relative humidity (minRH) values often
appearing 5% to 15% too high when copied into the forecast grid.
This inaccuracy significantly impacts our fire weather forecasts
(FWF) and spot forecasts, as trends are populated from these
observations. We frequently have to make manual edits to correct
errors in the trends, some of which show a trend in the opposite
direction than reality. These trends are read over the radio during
fire season and significantly affect our fire partners.
According to our iMETs, referencing S290/S390 courses, RAWS/ASOS
sites being off by 5% or more is considered unacceptable. We are
hoping for a resolution to this issue or guidance on any adjustments
we might be missing locally.
We have compiled examples from April 27th through May 10th, including
tables and images, which detail these discrepancies. Please refer to
the attached Google Slides for more information. We are also happy to
provide further examples upon request.
https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/10U7RblAe3VPOIcuyEvwhuv9__-hgkASaztSSollPNCs/edit?slide=id.g33d6df8f36c_0_61#slide=id.g33d6df8f36c_0_61
Thanks for any help you can provide!