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WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

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Patrick Ayd, modified 3 Years ago.

WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

Youngling Posts: 5 Join Date: 3/19/14 Recent Posts

Do the full 24, 48 and 72 hour percentile and exceedance probabilities only exist for the 07z and 13Z NBMv4.1 runs for snow and ice on the WSUPv4.2 1-D viewer. (whew....a lot of version numbers :) Thanks! We appreciate all you do to develop this resource for us.

Kevin McGrath, modified 3 Years ago.

RE: WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

Youngling Posts: 26 Join Date: 11/29/12 Recent Posts
Hi Patrick,

We love hearing from our users and appreciate the feedback! Those elements are available for the 01Z, 07Z, 13Z, and 19Z cycles (synoptic + 1 hr). Note that these require additional processing, so their availability is delayed by a few hours compared to the core elements (maxt, qpf06, wind speed, etc.).

Cheers,
Kevin


------
Kevin M. McGrath
Research Associate
NWS/MDL Digital Forecast Services Branch/CIRA

Office: 256-886-8896

kevin.m.mcgrath@noaa.gov

Madison, Alabama


On Thu, Dec 16, 2021 at 2:24 PM Patrick Ayd <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:

Do the full 24, 48 and 72 hour percentile and exceedance probabilities only exist for the 07z and 13Z NBMv4.1 runs for snow and ice on the WSUPv4.2 1-D viewer. (whew....a lot of version numbers :) Thanks! We appreciate all you do to develop this resource for us.


--
Patrick Ayd Whole Story Uncertainty & Probabilities Viewer Virtual Lab Forum https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/wsup/forums/-/message_boards/view_message/19517704 VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov

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Patrick Ayd, modified 3 Years ago.

RE: WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

Youngling Posts: 5 Join Date: 3/19/14 Recent Posts

Kevin,

 

Thank you for the responsiveness! It makes sense to me, just so I know what to pass along to our staff. Thanks again and Merry Christmas!

Kevin McGrath, modified 3 Years ago.

RE: WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

Youngling Posts: 26 Join Date: 11/29/12 Recent Posts
As a tip, if you select a specific cycle hour from the drop-down menu, the Element Availability progress bar in the upper-right will tell you what percentage of the elements that should be available for that cycle are currently available. Any elements that aren't available are shown in a dimmed italic font in the element drop-down menus. Hovering over one of these elements will result in a tool-tip telling you which cycles the element is available for or whether it has yet to come in for the current cycle. Example:

image.png

Merry Christmas as well!

- Kevin


On Thu, Dec 16, 2021 at 2:37 PM Patrick Ayd <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:

Kevin,

 

Thank you for the responsiveness! It makes sense to me, just so I know what to pass along to our staff. Thanks again and Merry Christmas!


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Patrick Ayd Whole Story Uncertainty & Probabilities Viewer Virtual Lab Forum https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/wsup/forums/-/message_boards/view_message/19517872VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov

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Patrick Ayd, modified 3 Years ago.

RE: WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

Youngling Posts: 5 Join Date: 3/19/14 Recent Posts

Kevin, 

 

Great! The 1 and 6 hour snow accums are expert weighted correct (the non-probabilistic fields)? Thanks again and a Bless Advent too. 

Kevin McGrath, modified 3 Years ago.

RE: WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

Youngling Posts: 26 Join Date: 11/29/12 Recent Posts
I'm not sure. I'll pose that question to the NBM team and get back to you.

- Kevin


On Thu, Dec 16, 2021 at 2:53 PM Patrick Ayd <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:

Kevin, 

 

Great! The 1 and 6 hour snow accums are expert weighted correct (the non-probabilistic fields)? Thanks again and a Bless Advent too. 


--
Patrick Ayd Whole Story Uncertainty & Probabilities Viewer Virtual Lab Forum https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/wsup/forums/-/message_boards/view_message/19518104 VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov

Kevin McGrath, modified 3 Years ago.

RE: WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

Youngling Posts: 26 Join Date: 11/29/12 Recent Posts
The NBM team confirms that the non-probabilistic 1- and 6-hour snow accum elements are indeed expert weighted.

- Kevin


On Thu, Dec 16, 2021 at 3:02 PM Kevin McGrath <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:

I'm not sure. I'll pose that question to the NBM team and get back to you.

- Kevin


On Thu, Dec 16, 2021 at 2:53 PM Patrick Ayd <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:

Kevin, 

 

Great! The 1 and 6 hour snow accums are expert weighted correct (the non-probabilistic fields)? Thanks again and a Bless Advent too. 


--
Patrick Ayd Whole Story Uncertainty & Probabilities Viewer Virtual Lab Forum https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/wsup/forums/-/message_boards/view_message/19518104 VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov


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Kevin McGrath Whole Story Uncertainty & Probabilities Viewer Virtual Lab Forum http://vlab.noaa.gov/web/wsup/forums/-/message_boards/view_message/19518288 VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov

Kevin McGrath, modified 3 Years ago.

RE: WSUPv4.2 1-D Viewer NBMv4.1 Probabilistic Snow and Ice?

Youngling Posts: 26 Join Date: 11/29/12 Recent Posts
Finally, see slides 11 and 12 from this presentation if you're curious to know the actual weight values.

- Kevin


On Thu, Dec 16, 2021 at 3:14 PM Kevin McGrath <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:

The NBM team confirms that the non-probabilistic 1- and 6-hour snow accum elements are indeed expert weighted.

- Kevin


On Thu, Dec 16, 2021 at 3:02 PM Kevin McGrath <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:

I'm not sure. I'll pose that question to the NBM team and get back to you.

- Kevin


On Thu, Dec 16, 2021 at 2:53 PM Patrick Ayd <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:

Kevin, 

 

Great! The 1 and 6 hour snow accums are expert weighted correct (the non-probabilistic fields)? Thanks again and a Bless Advent too. 


--
Patrick Ayd Whole Story Uncertainty & Probabilities Viewer Virtual Lab Forum https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/wsup/forums/-/message_boards/view_message/19518104 VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov


--
Kevin McGrath Whole Story Uncertainty & Probabilities Viewer Virtual Lab Forum http://vlab.noaa.gov/web/wsup/forums/-/message_boards/view_message/19518288 VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov


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Kevin McGrath Whole Story Uncertainty & Probabilities Viewer Virtual Lab Forum http://vlab.noaa.gov/web/wsup/forums/-/message_boards/view_message/19519134 VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov