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URMA wind errors at SF Bay Area ASOS sites during recent RFW/High Wind event

WB
Warren Blier, modified 4 Years ago.

URMA wind errors at SF Bay Area ASOS sites during recent RFW/High Wind event

Youngling Posts: 14 Join Date: 9/24/12 Recent Posts
Comparing 08Z Mon Oct 26 URMA winds at SF Bay Area ASOS sites with corresponding METARS
image.png

Aside from KLVK and KCCR, differences are really large.  Wondering why?

Thanks,

Warren

-------------------------------------------
Warren Blier, Ph.D.
Science and Operations Officer
NOAA/NWS San Francisco Bay Area Forecast Office
831-238-8109 (cell)
831-656-1724 (ops floor)  



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Matthew Morris, modified 4 Years ago.

RE: URMA wind errors at SF Bay Area ASOS sites during recent RFW/High Wind event

Youngling Posts: 175 Join Date: 12/6/17 Recent Posts
Hi Warren,

When considering the URMA wind speed analysis valid 08Z 26 October, the background fields (from the HRRR) are responsible for the analyzed wind speeds being weaker than observed at the METAR sites.

The attached slide deck shows that the analyzed winds from URMA are stronger than the background winds at all METAR sites except for KSTS.  In the case of KSTS, there is a nearby mesonet station (RZAC1) that is reporting weaker winds (3.46 kts).  I would suggest taking a closer look at the data from this mesonet station to determine if it should be flagged.
Lastly, RAPv5/HRRRv4 is scheduled for implementation in December.  Any improvements to the wind forecasts in HRRRv4 will also help improve the RTMA/URMA wind analyses.

Matt

On Wed, Oct 28, 2020 at 8:31 PM VLab Notifications <VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov> wrote:
Comparing 08Z Mon Oct 26 URMA winds at SF Bay Area ASOS sites with corresponding METARS
image.png

Aside from KLVK and KCCR, differences are really large.  Wondering why?

Thanks,

Warren

-------------------------------------------
Warren Blier, Ph.D.
Science and Operations Officer
NOAA/NWS San Francisco Bay Area Forecast Office
831-238-8109 (cell)
831-656-1724 (ops floor)  




--
Warren Blier RTMA/URMA Discussion Group Virtual Lab Forum http://vlab.noaa.gov/web/715073/home/-/message_boards/view_message/12349934VLab.Notifications@noaa.gov


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