It is kind of difficult to
follow all these comments in the
right order, but since my name
came up in this particular thread,
yes I'm seeing this kind of input
and feeling bad, esepcially
because it's a recursive one.
I've posted a couple of times
in the vLab forum on RTMA/URMA and
NBM noting that we (AFS11 or
Analysis and Nowcast Branch of
AFS) are taking a science-based
approach to addressing this
fundamental issue, but hardly
received any input.
I see some people asking
RTMA/URMA to exactly match
the
observations or to prescribe a set
threshold within which the
difference between the analysis
and obs. stays. I agree with the
immediate need for doing this and
will work on gathering the needs
and holding a workshop (in
collaboration with Jeff Craven),
but from a science point of view I
strongly feel that we need a more
fundamental approach to alleviate
or eliminate this issue.
As some point out this issue is
worst over comples terrain (what I
call "areas of large terrain
variaion" which includes
mountainous areas, coastlines and
islands), we're focusing on these areas.
One more time for those who are
curious about my thought on how to
satify the RTMA/URMA
"good-enough list", here
is the link to my talk at EMC (a
few months old and slightly
outdated) with a YouTube link:
In any case, my message here
today is that we've recognized
this issue quite early and are
trying to address it
systematically. We have a related
MDC-vlidated CaRDS request
currently with PIC (Portfolio
Integration Council) for potential
resource allocation, which if
executed will directly address the
current issue.
However, we'll start something
quicker (like a worshop) to tackle
this issue, so please stay tuned.
best regards,
yj kim
AFS Analysis and Nowcast Branch Chief