<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<feed xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
  <title>SS3.30 forecast</title>
  <link rel="self" href="https://vlab.noaa.gov/c/message_boards/find_thread?p_l_id=8790705&amp;threadId=10428184" />
  <subtitle>SS3.30 forecast</subtitle>
  <id>https://vlab.noaa.gov/c/message_boards/find_thread?p_l_id=8790705&amp;threadId=10428184</id>
  <updated>2026-07-12T20:39:13Z</updated>
  <dc:date>2026-07-12T20:39:13Z</dc:date>
  <entry>
    <title>SS3.30 forecast</title>
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://vlab.noaa.gov/c/message_boards/find_message?p_l_id=8790705&amp;messageId=10428183" />
    <author>
      <name>Dan Fu</name>
    </author>
    <id>https://vlab.noaa.gov/c/message_boards/find_message?p_l_id=8790705&amp;messageId=10428183</id>
    <updated>2020-06-11T09:53:31Z</updated>
    <published>2020-06-11T09:41:37Z</published>
    <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;Dear SS3 team,&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I run into an issue with the SS3.30 (lastest) constant catch
  forecasting, which doesn't appear to be working.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I simply set up a 10-year forecast with catch set to zero for all
  fleets. The SS3.24 forecast works as intended which shows SSB rapidly
  increasing (see attached SS3.24-forecast.png).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But the forecast for  SS3.30 files failed - the SSB crashed a few
  years into the projection period (see attached SS3.30-forecast.png).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Parameter estimates from the 3.30 are the same as the 3.24 (I used
  the ss_trans.exe for the conversion).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Running the forecast with alternative catch levels under 3.30 had the
  same issue&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I have attached the input files for SS3.24 and the problem is very
  easy to reproduce.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Hope you could help me look into this issue - (Most likely I have
  missed some configuration in the 3.30 forecast file?)&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Thanks for your help.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Dan &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;</summary>
    <dc:creator>Dan Fu</dc:creator>
    <dc:date>2020-06-11T09:41:37Z</dc:date>
  </entry>
</feed>

